User blog comment:Jeremiah Garland/World War III?/@comment-7097825-20130707221822

Time to break this down point by point

1. Ok, plausible enough

2. The Syrian Government is winning right now, and the Monarchies of Kuwait, Saudia Arabia, and especially Jordan are extremely popular with the people and are slowly liberalizing on their own.

3. Why do you have Russia becoming more liberal? If anything Russia is becoming MORE conservative. While Russia becoming Socialist is theoretically possible, establishing an authoritarian statist regime like the Soviet Union would never happen.

4. It wouldn't be a civil war since Israel does not claim the West Bank or Gaza strip, but plausible enough. However, the Palestians are Sunni, and would NEVER flee to Shia Iran.

5. I dont think North Korea will ever invade the South, they would be committing national suicide and they know it. Most of their current nonsense is a desperate effort to maintain control over their population and to get humanitarian aid from the UN

6 - 8. Plausible Enough

9. Not going to happen. Ever. China is not going to give up its libertum veto in the UN, much less declare war on South Korea in favor of North Korea. China would much rather have the South unite Korea, and have US forces withdraw from South Korea than have North Korea unify the penninsula.

10. China owns a small fraction of US debt, and if they declared war on South Korea, we would not honor their debt anyway.

11. While Iran could possibly beat Iraq or Syria solo (unlikely as the US would rush aid their ASAP), It could never beat both, and If Turkey joined the war against them they would be curb-stomped in a few days.

12. I guess they could do this, but as mentioned earlier occupying that much of Iraq is REALLY implausible

13. All this would do is push those three countries into NATO, and wreck Russian relations with the western world horribly, Russia would never do it.

14. China would care deeply if Tibet left. The ROC is still de facto in a state of War with China anyway, so thats plausible enough

15. China's economy would be in freefall, and the UN forces would have complete air and navy supremacy, no way do other nations join in China's national suicide, a coup by the Chinese military to end the war is the most likely outcome

16. No way does Thailand or Cambodia go Communist, and Vietnam and Laos are more authoritarian and corporatist than Communist nowadays (no country is really communist today)

17. We would have joined the war much earlier, and our entry would immediately prompt a coup in China which would end the war

18. Russia would not do this, the Western World would immediately put immense pressure on the Russian economy, which would collapse it.

19. China wouldn't threaten us with Nuclear Weapons, and if a Chinese regime did, the Army would immediately throw them out.

20. There is no way that China, with its hands full in dealing with the US would just go ahead and declare war on Japan. The fall of Korean penninsula while unlikely is theoretically possible

21. No way are these countries going to want to face the wrath of America.

22. Pakistan wouldn't join the war, it is just inviting India to take Kasmir. Simmilarly, Burma isn't just going to capture Bangledesh and annex it randomly (Burma now has more ethnic Bangledeshi than Burmese in it!)

23. We would be able to hurt China disproportionatly in terms of Nuclear Warfare.

24. You are overestimating Iran's military to a HUGE extent, there is no way they walk over the rest of the middle east

25. Not happening, Rwanda and Bruindi could beat Uganada, especially one lead by warlords. The Congo would collapse into civil war if it tried to grab territory (other countries would be able to more or less resist successfully, and Katanga would Unilaterally declare independence from Congo)

26. Iran is hardly powerful enough to walk over the rest of the Middle East as I mentioned earlier. Turkey would stomp them into the ground. If Russia declares war on Turkey, they would not get anywhere, as they have no land route to Turkey, and their airforce and navy are jokes right now.

27. Russia has unilaterally started Mutually Assured Destruction. Most of the World's population is dead, technolgy is sent back to the 1800's.

Everything after this is so utterly impossible there is no point even discussing it further.